Shopping on line can be easy, simple and save you lots of money. It can also take a lot of your time, frustrate you, and result in unwanted purchases. Now the same can be said for regular high street shopping, but with the vast opportunity presented by the Internet it will pay you to spend a few minutes reading this and understanding how to better optimize your Superpower shopping experience:
1. Compare - without doubt the biggest advantage that the Superpower offers shoppers today is the ability to compare thousands of Superpower at a time. This is a great thing, but not necessarily all the time! Too much can be daunting at times so take advantage of the great comparison sites and where possible let them do the hard work for you.
2. Research - if it has been said it will be on the internet. Ignorance is no longer a justifiable reason for buying the wrong thing. Take the time to research in detail everything that you could possible want to know about
3. Testimonials - don't know anybody that has bought a Superpower? Wrong! If the Superpower is good the internet will let you know. Use the Internet as a friend and get testimonials before you buy.
4. Questions - Got a question about Superpower then search the Forums, FAQ's, Blogs etc. Don't be afraid to ask .....
5. Reputation - Never heard of the company selling Superpower? Don't worry, no reason why you should know every company in the world, but you know someone that does! Use the internet to find out what people are saying about Superpower and build up a picture of their reputation for sales, returns, customer service, delivery etc.
6. Returns - still worried that even after all of the above your Superpower wont be what you want? Check out the returns policy. There is so much competition now that someone, somewhere is bound to offer the terms that you are comfortable with.
7. Feedback - happy with your Superpower then let people know, after all you are depending on others people input in your buying decision, so why not give a little back.
8. Security - check for the yellow padlock on the Superpower site before you buy, and the s after http:/ /i.e. https:// = a secure site
9. Contact - got a question about Superpower, or want to leave a comment then check out the sites contact page. Reputable companies have them and respond.
10. Payment - ready to pay for your Superpower, then use your credit card or PayPal! Be aware of companies that don't accept them, there may be genuine reasons but given the huge amount of choice you have when buying online there is no reason at all not to buy via credit card or PayPal.
and USSR were the two superpowers during the Cold War. Here Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev meet in 1985A
superpower is a state with a leading position in the international relations and the ability to
influence events and project
Power in international relations; it is considered a higher level of power than a
great power. Lyman Miller (Professor of National Security Affairs at the
Naval Postgraduate School), defines a superpower as "a country that has the capacity to project dominating power and influence anywhere in the world, and sometimes, in more than one region of the globe at a time, and so may plausibly attain the status of global Hegemony." www.stanford.edu It was a term first applied in 1944 to the United States, the Soviet Union, and the British Empire. Following World War II, the British Empire ceased to exist as its territories became independent, and the Soviet Union and the United States were regarded as the only two superpowers, then engaged in the Cold War.
After the Cold War, the most common belief held that only the United States fulfilled the criteria to be considered a superpower. The
People's Republic of China,
India, the European Union, and a couple of other candidates, however, appear to have the potential of achieving superpower status within the 21st century. Others doubt the existence of superpowers in the post Cold War era altogether, stating that today's complex global marketplace and the rising interdependency between the world's nations has made the concept of a superpower an idea of the past and that the world is now
Polarity in international relations.
Application of the term
The term "superpowers" was used to describe nations with greater than
Great Power status as early as 1944, but only gained its specific meaning with regard to the United States and the Soviet Union after World War II.
Origin
(Blue), the
Soviet Union (Red), and the
British Empire (Turquoise) were superpowers.The term in its current political meaning was coined in the book
The Superpowers: The United States, Britain and the Soviet Union – Their Responsibility for Peace (1944), written by
William Thornton Rickert Fox, an American foreign policy professor. The book spoke of the global reach of a super-empowered nation. www.casaasia.es Fox used the word Superpower to identify a new category of power able to occupy the highest status in a world in which, as the war then raging demonstrated, states could challenge and fight each other on a global scale. According to him, there were (at that moment) three states that were superpowers: the
United States, the Soviet Union, and the British Empire. The British Empire was the most
World's largest empires in world history , which was considered the foremost great power and by 1921, held sway over 25% of the world's populationAngus Maddison.
The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective (p. 98, 242). Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, 2001. and controlled about 25% of the Earth's total land area,
To Rule the Earth..., hostkingdom.net, Bibliography, Accessed March 11, 2007 while the United States and the Soviet Union both proved their newly gained power in World War II.
Cold War
The
Suez Crisis (1956) however made it clear that the British Empire, economically ravaged by two world wars, could no longer compete on an equal footing with the United States and
Soviet Union without sacrificing its reconstruction efforts, even while acting in concert with
France and
Israel. As the majority of World War II was fought far from its national boundaries, the United States did not suffer the industrial destruction or massive civilian casualties that marked the wartime situation of the countries in
Europe or
Asia. During the war, the United States had built up a strong industrial and technological infrastructure that had greatly advanced its military strength into a primary position on the global stage. .
Following the war, nearly all of Europe had aligned either with the United States or the Soviet Union. Despite attempts to create multinational coalitions or legislative bodies (such as the
United Nations), it became increasingly clear that the United States and the Soviet Union were the dominant powers of the newly emerging Cold War, and had very different visions about what the post-war world ought to look like. The two countries opposed each other ideologically, politically, militarily, and economically. The Soviet Union represented the ideology of communism, whilst the United States represented the ideology of capitalism and democracy. This was reflected in the NATO and Warsaw Pact military alliances. These alliances implied that these two nations were part of an emerging bipolar world, in contrast with a previously multipolar world.
The Soviet Union and the United States fulfilled the superpower criteria in the following ways:{]. Had permanent seat on the UN Security Council. Strong ties with Eastern Europe and the developing world. Strong ties with anti-colonialist movements and labour parties.]
Republic. Permanent seat on the UN Security Council. Strong ties with Western Europe, Latin America, British Commonwealth, and several East Asian countries.]. The capability to develop advanced military and space technologies, and the world's largest stockpile of nuclear weapons for the second half of the Cold War.| Bases all over the world, particularly in an incomplete "ring" bordering the Soviet Union to the West, South and East. Largest nuclear arsenal in the world during the first half of the Cold War — stationed on its own soil and also in Europe. Strong and technologically advanced army, world's largest navy, and the largest and most technologically advanced air force in the world.|-|
Economic| Vast deposits of oil, gas, coal, metals and minerals, and large farming areas.| Largest economy in the world. Large resources of minerals, metals, and timber, large and modernized farming industry.|-|
Demographic| Had a population of 286.7 million in 1989, the third largest on Earth behind China and India. Library of Congress Country Studies| Had a population of 248.7 million in 1990, at that time the fourth largest on Earth. www.census.gov|}
The idea that the Cold War period revolved around only two blocs, or even only two nations, has been challenged by some scholars in the post-Cold War era, who have noted that the bipolar world only exists if one ignores all of the various movements and conflicts that occurred without influence from either of the two superpowers. Additionally, much of the conflict between the superpowers was fought in "
proxy wars", which more often than not involved issues more complex than the standard Cold War oppositions.
In the 1980s some commentators thought Japan would become a superpower, due to its large GDP and high economic growth at the time. time.com 1988 article "Japan From Superrich To Superpower"
After the Soviet Union disintegrated in the early 1990s, the term hyperpower began to be applied to the United States, as the sole remaining superpower of the Cold War era. The World's Sole Superpower, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Accessed March 11, 2007 This term, coined by French foreign minister Hubert Védrine in the 1990s, is controversial and the validity of classifying the United States in this way is disputed. One notable opponent to this theory,
Samuel P. Huntington, rejects this theory in favor of a multipolar
balance of power in international relations.
Recognition of earlier superpowers
There have been attempts to apply the term superpower retrospectively, to a variety of past entities such as the Persian Empire, Persia and the Greeks/The First World Empire, Encyclopedia.com, Accessed March 11, 2007 Engineering An Empire: The Persians, Anthropology.net, Accessed March 11, 2007
Roman Empire, www.heritage.org www.blackwellpublishing.com and the Spanish EmpireKAMEN, H.,
Spain's Road To Empire: The Making Of A World Power, 1492-1763, 2003, Penguin Books, 640p.. Recognition by historians of these older states as superpowers may focus on various superlative traits exhibited by them. For example, at its peak the Spanish empire was among the
List of largest empires.
Characteristics
are a means of power projection on a global scale—one hallmark of a superpower www.stanford.eduThe criteria of a superpower are not clearly defined and as a consequence they may differ between sources.
According to Lyman Miller, "The basic components of superpower stature may be measured along four axes of power: military, economic, political, and cultural (or what political scientist
Joseph Nye has termed “soft”)." www.stanford.edu
In the opinion of Kim Richard Nossal of
McMaster University, "generally this term was used to signify a political community that occupied a continental-sized landmass, had a sizable population (relative at least to other major powers); a superordinate economic capacity (again, relative to others), including ample indigenous supplies of food and natural resources; enjoyed a high degree of non-dependence on international intercourse; and, most importantly, had a well-developed nuclear capacity (eventually normally defined as second-strike capability)."
Former Indian National Security Advisor
Jyotindra Nath Dixit has also described the characteristics of Superpowers. In his view, "first, the state or the nation concerned should have sizable territorial presence in terms of the size of the population. Secondly, such a state should have high levels of domestic cohesion, clear sense of national identity and stable administration based on strong legal and institutional arrangements. Thirdly, the state concerned should be economically well to do and should be endowed with food security and natural resources, particularly energy resources and infrastructural resources in terms of minerals and metals. Such a state should have a strong industrial base backed by productive capacities and technological knowledge. Then the state concerned should have military capacities, particularly nuclear and missile weapons capabilities at least comparable to, if not of higher levels than other countries which may have similar capacities." www.tribuneindia.com
In the opinion of Professor Paul Dukes, "a superpower must be able to conduct a global strategy including the possibility of destroying the world; to command vast economic potential and influence; and to present a universal ideology". Although, "many modifications may be made to this basic definition". abe.etailer.dpsl.net
According to Professor June Teufel Dreyer, "A superpower must be able to project its power, soft and hard, globally." www.fpri.org
Superpowers today (1991-)
After the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 that ended the Cold War, the post-Cold War world is widely considered as a unipolar world, with the United States as the world's sole remaining superpower. Country profile: United States of America, BBC News, Accessed March 11, 2007Charles Krauthammer, The Unipolar Moment,
Foreign Policy Magazine (1991). www.gaikoforum.com www.amazon.com www.amazon.com In the words of Samuel P. Huntington, "The United States, of course, is the sole state with preeminence in every domain of power — economic, military, diplomatic, ideological, technological, and cultural — with the reach and capabilities to promote its interests in virtually every part of the world." www-stage.foreignaffairs.org
Some experts argue that this mainstream assessment of current global politics is too simplified, in part because of the difficulty in classifying the European Union at its current stage of development. Others argue that the notion of a superpower is outdated, considering complex global economic interdependencies, and propose that the world is
Polarity in international relations#Multipolarity today. According to Samuel P. Huntington, "There is now only one superpower. But that does not mean that the world is unipolar. A unipolar system would have one superpower, no significant major powers, and many minor powers." Huntingdon thinks, "Contemporary international politics" ... "is instead a strange hybrid, a uni-multipolar system with one superpower and several major powers." www-stage.foreignaffairs.org
Potential superpowers
Academics predict the possible rise of new superpowers in the 21st century, mentioning three possible superpower candidates. Whether the People's Republic of China, India or the
European Union will be future superpowers is a matter of ongoing debate.
European Union
The
European Union has been called a potential superpower by academics.{{cite web],LEONARD, M.,
Why Europe Will Run the Twenty-First Century Why Europe Will Run the 21st Century,
Review, Foreign Affairs, Accessed March 11, 2007 believe that the power of the European Union will rival that of the United States in the 21st century. Leonard cites several factors: the EU's large population, large economy, low inflation rates, the unpopularity and perceived failure of US foreign policy in recent years, and certain EU members states' high quality of life (when measured in terms such as hours worked per week). Europe: the new superpower by Mark Leonard, Irish Times, Accessed March 11, 2007On the other hand Laurent Cohen-TanugiCohen-Tanugi, L., "The End of Europe" in
Foreign Affairs, 84, (2005), 6, 55-67. states that the EU as a whole has consistently suffered from a growth deficit vis-a-vis the US, high unemployment, and public deficits even while most member states of the EU lagged substantially behind the US in R&D investment, technological innovation, and, since 1995, productivity gains.
People's Republic of China
The
People's Republic of China receives almost continual coverage in the popular press of its potential superpower status, Visions of China, CNN Specials, Accessed March 11, 2007 China builds a superpower fighter, IHT, Accessed March 11, 2007 and has been identified as a rising or emerging economic and military superpower by academics and other experts. www.carnegieendowment.org www.getabstract.com www.au.af.mil Professor Shujie Yao of Nottingham University has said "China will overtake the United States to become the world's largest economy by 2038 if current growth rates continue", and that China's GDP will overtake that of Japan by 2017 or 2018, and Germany's by 2008. Professor Yao thinks that "under an optimistic scenario", "China could become a real superpower in 30 years time". China to become world’s largest economy by 2038, Nottingham professor says, School of Contemporary Chinese Studies,
University of NottinghamGeoffrey Murphay's
China: The Next Superpower argues that while the potential for China is high, this is fairly perceived only by looking at the risks and obstacles China faces in managing its population and resources. The political situation in China is too fragile to survive into superpower status according to
Susan Shirk, writing in
China: Fragile Superpower. China: Fragile Superpower,
Description, Oxford University Press, Accessed March 11, 2007 Other factors that could constrain China's ability to become a superpower in the future include: limited supplies of energy and raw materials, questions over its innovation capability, inequality and corruption, and risks to social stability and the environment. www.nottingham.ac.uk
India
Newsweek, and the
International Herald Tribune join several academics in discussing
India's potential of becoming a superpower. India Rising, Newsweek, Accessed March 11, 2007 India welcomed as new sort of superpower, IHT, Accessed March 11, 2007 India: Emerging as Eastern or Western Power?, YaleGlobal, Accessed March 11, 2007
China and India rising to superpower status is not inevitable, according to scholars such as Professor Pranab Bardhan, Chief Editor of the
Journal of Development Economics, who suggest that millions mired in poverty and ineffective government prevent China or India from rivaling the U.S. or the E.U. any time soon. China, India Superpower? Not so Fast!, YaleGlobal, Accessed March 11, 2007
Other candidates
Occasionally, a few other countries are suggested as potential candidates for achieving superpower status in the twenty-first century, particularly regarding energy. These include Brazil Brazil, the ethanol superpower and Russia, although their current social and political difficulties and their lacking material and institutional capabilities mean that neither is likely to achieve a status above that of a 'great power' in the near future. As
Barry Buzan, professor of international relations at the London School of Economics, states:
Russia is the least likely candidate for (re)promotion to superpower. Indeed, it remains a plausible candidate for further demotion into the ranks of big regional powers alongside India and Brazil. To achieve promotion back to superpower status would require Russia to stage a miraculous across-the-board recovery from the very severe economic, political and status shrinkage that followed from the implosion of the Soviet Union...Russia's problem is the huge disjuncture between its status needs and its economic and military weakness. Except for nuclear weapons, the massive military legacy from the Soviet Union has largely decayed...Aside from its nuclear weapons, and its enormous political geography, Russia does not really have the material capability to sustain even its great power status, which is consequentially something given by its peers than taken by right...Therefore, and even though its position has improved a bit since the nadir of the 1990s, Russia is too weak to bid for superpower status during the foreseeable future.
Further, even Russia's status as an '
energy superpower' has been called into question. As Vladimir Milov, of the
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, says:
The “energy superpower" concept is an illusion with no basis in reality. Perhaps most dangerously, it doesn’t recognize the mutual dependence between Russia and energy consumers. Because of political conflicts and declining production, future supply disruptions to Europe are likely. As a result, there will come a day when European gas companies demand elimination of the take-or-pay conditions in their Russian contracts. This will threaten Gazprom’s ability to borrow. Putin’s attempt to use energy to increase Russian influence could backfire in the long run. How Sustainable is Russia's Future as an Energy Superpower?
For these reasons, it seems unlikely that Russia or Brazil will attain superpower status anytime soon.
References
External links
- Questioning the Role of the Superpower Today
Bibliography
and USSR were the two superpowers during the Cold War. Here Ronald Reagan and Mikhail Gorbachev meet in 1985A
superpower is a
state with a leading position in the international relations and the ability to influence events and project
Power in international relations; it is considered a higher level of power than a great power. Lyman Miller (Professor of National Security Affairs at the Naval Postgraduate School), defines a superpower as "a country that has the capacity to project dominating power and influence anywhere in the world, and sometimes, in more than one region of the globe at a time, and so may plausibly attain the status of global Hegemony." www.stanford.edu It was a term first applied in 1944 to the
United States, the
Soviet Union, and the British Empire. Following
World War II, the British Empire ceased to exist as its territories became independent, and the Soviet Union and the United States were regarded as the only two superpowers, then engaged in the Cold War.
After the Cold War, the most common belief held that only the United States fulfilled the criteria to be considered a superpower. The
People's Republic of China,
India, the European Union, and a couple of other candidates, however, appear to have the potential of achieving superpower status within the 21st century. Others doubt the existence of superpowers in the post Cold War era altogether, stating that today's complex global marketplace and the rising interdependency between the world's nations has made the concept of a superpower an idea of the past and that the world is now
Polarity in international relations.
Application of the term
The term "superpowers" was used to describe nations with greater than
Great Power status as early as 1944, but only gained its specific meaning with regard to the United States and the Soviet Union after World War II.
Origin
(Blue), the Soviet Union (Red), and the British Empire (Turquoise) were superpowers.The term in its current political meaning was coined in the book
The Superpowers: The United States, Britain and the Soviet Union – Their Responsibility for Peace (1944), written by William Thornton Rickert Fox, an American foreign policy professor. The book spoke of the global reach of a super-empowered nation. www.casaasia.es Fox used the word Superpower to identify a new category of power able to occupy the highest status in a world in which, as the war then raging demonstrated, states could challenge and fight each other on a global scale. According to him, there were (at that moment) three states that were superpowers: the United States, the Soviet Union, and the
British Empire. The British Empire was the most World's largest empires in world history , which was considered the foremost great power and by 1921, held sway over 25% of the world's populationAngus Maddison.
The World Economy: A Millennial Perspective (p. 98, 242).
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, 2001. and controlled about 25% of the Earth's total land area,
To Rule the Earth..., hostkingdom.net, Bibliography, Accessed March 11, 2007 while the United States and the Soviet Union both proved their newly gained power in
World War II.
Cold War
The
Suez Crisis (1956) however made it clear that the British Empire, economically ravaged by two world wars, could no longer compete on an equal footing with the
United States and Soviet Union without sacrificing its reconstruction efforts, even while acting in concert with France and Israel. As the majority of World War II was fought far from its national boundaries, the United States did not suffer the industrial destruction or massive civilian casualties that marked the wartime situation of the countries in Europe or Asia. During the war, the United States had built up a strong industrial and technological infrastructure that had greatly advanced its military strength into a primary position on the global stage. .
Following the war, nearly all of Europe had aligned either with the United States or the Soviet Union. Despite attempts to create multinational coalitions or legislative bodies (such as the United Nations), it became increasingly clear that the United States and the Soviet Union were the dominant powers of the newly emerging Cold War, and had very different visions about what the post-war world ought to look like. The two countries opposed each other ideologically, politically, militarily, and economically. The Soviet Union represented the ideology of communism, whilst the United States represented the ideology of capitalism and
democracy. This was reflected in the NATO and Warsaw Pact military alliances. These alliances implied that these two nations were part of an emerging bipolar world, in contrast with a previously multipolar world.
The Soviet Union and the United States fulfilled the superpower criteria in the following ways:{]. Had permanent seat on the
UN Security Council. Strong ties with Eastern Europe and the developing world. Strong ties with anti-colonialist movements and labour parties.] Republic. Permanent seat on the UN Security Council. Strong ties with Western Europe, Latin America, British Commonwealth, and several East Asian countries.]. The capability to develop advanced military and space technologies, and the world's largest stockpile of nuclear weapons for the second half of the Cold War.| Bases all over the world, particularly in an incomplete "ring" bordering the Soviet Union to the West, South and East. Largest nuclear arsenal in the world during the first half of the Cold War — stationed on its own soil and also in Europe. Strong and technologically advanced army, world's largest navy, and the largest and most technologically advanced air force in the world.|-|
Economic| Vast deposits of oil, gas, coal, metals and minerals, and large farming areas.| Largest economy in the world. Large resources of minerals, metals, and timber, large and modernized farming industry.|-|
Demographic| Had a population of 286.7 million in 1989, the third largest on Earth behind China and India. Library of Congress Country Studies| Had a population of 248.7 million in 1990, at that time the fourth largest on Earth. www.census.gov|}
The idea that the Cold War period revolved around only two blocs, or even only two nations, has been challenged by some scholars in the post-Cold War era, who have noted that the bipolar world only exists if one ignores all of the various movements and conflicts that occurred without influence from either of the two superpowers. Additionally, much of the conflict between the superpowers was fought in "proxy wars", which more often than not involved issues more complex than the standard Cold War oppositions.
In the 1980s some commentators thought Japan would become a superpower, due to its large GDP and high economic growth at the time. time.com 1988 article "Japan From Superrich To Superpower"
After the Soviet Union disintegrated in the early 1990s, the term
hyperpower began to be applied to the United States, as the sole remaining superpower of the Cold War era. The World's Sole Superpower, Encyclopaedia Britannica, Accessed March 11, 2007 This term, coined by French foreign minister
Hubert Védrine in the 1990s, is controversial and the validity of classifying the United States in this way is disputed. One notable opponent to this theory,
Samuel P. Huntington, rejects this theory in favor of a multipolar
balance of power in international relations.
Recognition of earlier superpowers
There have been attempts to apply the term superpower retrospectively, to a variety of past entities such as the
Persian Empire, Persia and the Greeks/The First World Empire, Encyclopedia.com, Accessed March 11, 2007 Engineering An Empire: The Persians, Anthropology.net, Accessed March 11, 2007 Roman Empire, www.heritage.org www.blackwellpublishing.com and the Spanish EmpireKAMEN, H.,
Spain's Road To Empire: The Making Of A World Power, 1492-1763, 2003, Penguin Books, 640p.. Recognition by historians of these older states as superpowers may focus on various superlative traits exhibited by them. For example, at its peak the Spanish empire was among the List of largest empires.
Characteristics
are a means of
power projection on a global scale—one hallmark of a superpower www.stanford.eduThe criteria of a superpower are not clearly defined and as a consequence they may differ between sources.
According to Lyman Miller, "The basic components of superpower stature may be measured along four axes of power: military, economic, political, and cultural (or what political scientist Joseph Nye has termed “soft”)." www.stanford.edu
In the opinion of Kim Richard Nossal of McMaster University, "generally this term was used to signify a political community that occupied a continental-sized landmass, had a sizable population (relative at least to other major powers); a superordinate economic capacity (again, relative to others), including ample indigenous supplies of food and natural resources; enjoyed a high degree of non-dependence on international intercourse; and, most importantly, had a well-developed nuclear capacity (eventually normally defined as second-strike capability)."
Former Indian National Security Advisor
Jyotindra Nath Dixit has also described the characteristics of Superpowers. In his view, "first, the state or the nation concerned should have sizable territorial presence in terms of the size of the population. Secondly, such a state should have high levels of domestic cohesion, clear sense of national identity and stable administration based on strong legal and institutional arrangements. Thirdly, the state concerned should be economically well to do and should be endowed with food security and natural resources, particularly energy resources and infrastructural resources in terms of minerals and metals. Such a state should have a strong industrial base backed by productive capacities and technological knowledge. Then the state concerned should have military capacities, particularly nuclear and missile weapons capabilities at least comparable to, if not of higher levels than other countries which may have similar capacities." www.tribuneindia.com
In the opinion of Professor Paul Dukes, "a superpower must be able to conduct a global strategy including the possibility of destroying the world; to command vast economic potential and influence; and to present a universal ideology". Although, "many modifications may be made to this basic definition". abe.etailer.dpsl.net
According to Professor June Teufel Dreyer, "A superpower must be able to project its power, soft and hard, globally." www.fpri.org
Superpowers today (1991-)
After the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991 that ended the Cold War, the post-Cold War world is widely considered as a unipolar world, with the United States as the world's sole remaining superpower. Country profile: United States of America, BBC News, Accessed March 11, 2007Charles Krauthammer, The Unipolar Moment,
Foreign Policy Magazine (1991). www.gaikoforum.com www.amazon.com www.amazon.com In the words of Samuel P. Huntington, "The United States, of course, is the sole state with preeminence in every domain of power — economic, military, diplomatic, ideological, technological, and cultural — with the reach and capabilities to promote its interests in virtually every part of the world." www-stage.foreignaffairs.org
Some experts argue that this mainstream assessment of current global politics is too simplified, in part because of the difficulty in classifying the European Union at its current stage of development. Others argue that the notion of a superpower is outdated, considering complex global economic interdependencies, and propose that the world is
Polarity in international relations#Multipolarity today. According to Samuel P. Huntington, "There is now only one superpower. But that does not mean that the world is unipolar. A unipolar system would have one superpower, no significant major powers, and many minor powers." Huntingdon thinks, "Contemporary international politics" ... "is instead a strange hybrid, a uni-multipolar system with one superpower and several major powers." www-stage.foreignaffairs.org
Potential superpowers
Academics predict the possible rise of new superpowers in the 21st century, mentioning three possible superpower candidates. Whether the
People's Republic of China,
India or the European Union will be future superpowers is a matter of ongoing debate.
European Union
The
European Union has been called a potential superpower by academics.{{cite web],LEONARD, M.,
Why Europe Will Run the Twenty-First Century Why Europe Will Run the 21st Century,
Review, Foreign Affairs, Accessed March 11, 2007 believe that the power of the European Union will rival that of the United States in the 21st century. Leonard cites several factors: the EU's large population, large economy, low inflation rates, the unpopularity and perceived failure of US foreign policy in recent years, and certain EU members states' high quality of life (when measured in terms such as hours worked per week). Europe: the new superpower by Mark Leonard, Irish Times, Accessed March 11, 2007On the other hand Laurent Cohen-TanugiCohen-Tanugi, L., "The End of Europe" in
Foreign Affairs, 84, (2005), 6, 55-67. states that the EU as a whole has consistently suffered from a growth deficit vis-a-vis the US, high unemployment, and public deficits even while most member states of the EU lagged substantially behind the US in R&D investment, technological innovation, and, since 1995, productivity gains.
People's Republic of China
The
People's Republic of China receives almost continual coverage in the popular press of its potential superpower status, Visions of China, CNN Specials, Accessed March 11, 2007 China builds a superpower fighter, IHT, Accessed March 11, 2007 and has been identified as a rising or emerging economic and military superpower by academics and other experts. www.carnegieendowment.org www.getabstract.com www.au.af.mil Professor Shujie Yao of Nottingham University has said "China will overtake the United States to become the world's largest economy by 2038 if current growth rates continue", and that China's GDP will overtake that of Japan by 2017 or 2018, and Germany's by 2008. Professor Yao thinks that "under an optimistic scenario", "China could become a real superpower in 30 years time". China to become world’s largest economy by 2038, Nottingham professor says, School of Contemporary Chinese Studies, University of Nottingham
Geoffrey Murphay's
China: The Next Superpower argues that while the potential for China is high, this is fairly perceived only by looking at the risks and obstacles China faces in managing its population and resources. The political situation in China is too fragile to survive into superpower status according to Susan Shirk, writing in
China: Fragile Superpower. China: Fragile Superpower,
Description, Oxford University Press, Accessed March 11, 2007 Other factors that could constrain China's ability to become a superpower in the future include: limited supplies of energy and raw materials, questions over its innovation capability, inequality and corruption, and risks to social stability and the environment. www.nottingham.ac.uk
India
Newsweek, and the
International Herald Tribune join several academics in discussing
India's potential of becoming a superpower. India Rising, Newsweek, Accessed March 11, 2007 India welcomed as new sort of superpower, IHT, Accessed March 11, 2007 India: Emerging as Eastern or Western Power?, YaleGlobal, Accessed March 11, 2007
China and India rising to superpower status is not inevitable, according to scholars such as Professor Pranab Bardhan, Chief Editor of the
Journal of Development Economics, who suggest that millions mired in poverty and ineffective government prevent China or India from rivaling the U.S. or the E.U. any time soon. China, India Superpower? Not so Fast!, YaleGlobal, Accessed March 11, 2007
Other candidates
Occasionally, a few other countries are suggested as potential candidates for achieving superpower status in the twenty-first century, particularly regarding energy. These include Brazil Brazil, the ethanol superpower and Russia, although their current social and political difficulties and their lacking material and institutional capabilities mean that neither is likely to achieve a status above that of a 'great power' in the near future. As Barry Buzan, professor of international relations at the
London School of Economics, states:
Russia is the least likely candidate for (re)promotion to superpower. Indeed, it remains a plausible candidate for further demotion into the ranks of big regional powers alongside India and Brazil. To achieve promotion back to superpower status would require Russia to stage a miraculous across-the-board recovery from the very severe economic, political and status shrinkage that followed from the implosion of the Soviet Union...Russia's problem is the huge disjuncture between its status needs and its economic and military weakness. Except for nuclear weapons, the massive military legacy from the Soviet Union has largely decayed...Aside from its nuclear weapons, and its enormous political geography, Russia does not really have the material capability to sustain even its great power status, which is consequentially something given by its peers than taken by right...Therefore, and even though its position has improved a bit since the nadir of the 1990s, Russia is too weak to bid for superpower status during the foreseeable future.
Further, even Russia's status as an '
energy superpower' has been called into question. As Vladimir Milov, of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, says:
The “energy superpower" concept is an illusion with no basis in reality. Perhaps most dangerously, it doesn’t recognize the mutual dependence between Russia and energy consumers. Because of political conflicts and declining production, future supply disruptions to Europe are likely. As a result, there will come a day when European gas companies demand elimination of the take-or-pay conditions in their Russian contracts. This will threaten Gazprom’s ability to borrow. Putin’s attempt to use energy to increase Russian influence could backfire in the long run. How Sustainable is Russia's Future as an Energy Superpower?
For these reasons, it seems unlikely that Russia or Brazil will attain superpower status anytime soon.
References
External links
- Questioning the Role of the Superpower Today
Bibliography
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